Monday tips

Towcester jackpot (20K rollover!!!) sent to subscribers.....full service will resume next Monday, hopefully refreshed for the meaty time coming up on the flat and of course the Grand National. TTFN

Scoop6 Races for March 27th

Scoop6 Races for March 27th

Scoop6 races Saturday 27th March

Scoop6 Race 1 : 1.45 Newbury
Scoop6 Race 2 : 2.00 Doncaster (BONUS RACE)
Scoop6 Race 3 : 2.15 Newbury
Scoop6 Race 4 : 2.35 Doncaster
Scoop6 Race 5 : 2.50 Kempton
Scoop6 Race 6 : 3.10 Doncaster

No win rollover as there was one winner last who has the chance to win a massive Bonus fund of £229,080 today by selecting the winner of the 2.00 at Doncaster.

I am still officially on a break but may post the jackpot here later.

Scoop6 Races March 20th

Scoop6 Races March 20th 2010

Win fund rollover: £396,843
Place fund rollover: £170,075

Scoop6 Race 1 2.05 Uttoxeter
Scoop6 Race 2 2.25 Lingfield
Scoop6 Race 3 2.40 Uttoxeter
Scoop6 Race 4 3.00 Lingfield
Scoop6 Race 5 3.15 Uttoxeter
Scoop6 Race 6 3.35 Lingfield

Nice to dream

Horse Racing from Cheltenham, Hexham, Southwell, Wolverhampton on 18 March 2010 - Runners Index - Yesterdays Race Winners | Racing Post

Horse Racing Results from Cheltenham

JACKPOT Not won. £269,605.38 carried over to Cheltenham today
PLACEPOT £1,180.70 to a £1 stake. Pool: £892,566.81. 551.85 winning tickets.

Wow, mega money to be won today but to go through the card would require a miraculous feat of tipping...

Wednesday free racing tips results

Poor show at Cheltenham today with just a few placers, disappointing after Tuesday's thre winners but that is Chelters for you, full results to follow...

Cheltenham day one

Not too bad with three winners at 12/1, 9/1 & 6/4!!!

It is Tuesday..

..and the first day of Cheltenham!

But guess what, for me it is business as usual apart from picking a few more selections to dutch as long shots historically do well...

Free horse racing tips Saturday Scoop Six

Sandown Jackpot Placepot

2.00 Alfie Spinner 4th 10/1, Red Harbour won 4/1
2.30 Or Jaun
3.05 Qaspal won 11/4, Oldrik 2nd 16/1 Exacta £61.60
3.40 Lifestyle 3rd 4/6
4.15 Tchico Polos won 4/6
4.50 Busy Isit 1st, 2nd 10/1, Lidjo De Rouge (Busy Isit, passed the post first, disqualified & placed 2nd)

Pretty good results for a Saturday

Scoop6 Results 13th March 2010

Scoop6 Results 13th March 2010

Scoop6 Win Fund Total : £396,843 - not won
Scoop6 Place Fund Total : £70,914 - 3317 winners @ £21.30
Scoop6 Bonus Fund Total : £170,076

Scoop6 Race 1 - 2:00 Sandown Park
1st 11 Red Harbour
2nd 13 Babysitter
3rd 3 Ranjobaie
4th 10 Alfie Spinner

Scoop6 Race 2 - 2:15 Wolverhampton
1st 5 Dunelight
2nd 8 Mia's Boy
3rd 6 Lovelace

Scoop6 Race 3 - 2:30 Sandown Park
1st 7 Meanus Dandy
2nd 6 Appleaday
3rd 9 Fresh Air And F'

Scoop6 Race 4 - 3:05 Sandown Park
1st 21 Qaspal
2nd 9 Oldrik
3rd 4 Pepe Simo
4th 14 Tilt

Scoop6 Race 5 - 3:25 Wolverhampton
1st 13 Vitznau
2nd 9 Fanunalter
3rd 8 Albaqaa

Scoop6 Race 6 - 3:40 Sandown Park
1st 2 Mizzurka
2nd 9 Risaala
3rd 8 Lifestyle

Scoop6 Races March 13th 2010

Scoop6 Races March 13th 2010
Win fund rollover £272,745
Bonus fund rollover £116,890

Scoop6 Race 1 2.00 Sandown
Scoop6 Race 2 2.15 Wolverhampton
Scoop6 Race 3 2.30 Sandown
Scoop6 Race 4 3.05 Sandown
Scoop6 Race 5 3.25 Wolverhampton
Scoop6 Race 6 3.40 Sandown

Thursday Free Horse Racing Tips Results

Carlisle Jackpot Placepot Tips

2.10 Whats Up Woody won 9/4, Oil Burner
2.40 Point West, McMurrough
3.15 Middleton Dene won 7/4
3.45 Stagecoach Diamond, Darinas Boy
4.20 Vecchio Senso
4.50 Storm Surge 3rd 15/8

Free Horse Racing Tips Tuesday Results

Tuesday's email read "Three extra bets and hopefuly the first two should be winners. In the last at Newcastle I am going to oppose Kings Grey 9/4 with an each way bet on Fridaythorpe 14/1, a winner last time out for an inform trainer has to be worth a small interest.

Fridaythorpe (4th) took up the lead mid-race but could not sustain it against speedier rivals. In any case he faced a difficult task under a penalty, and the form of his win amonth ago is beginning to look a little suspect.

Its Teescomponents 10/11 3.20 Newcastle looks banker material but is too short for my extra bets
Its Teescomponents (2nd) made a mistake at the first but was soon travelling well within herself until hitting the first of the downhill fences, which seemed to knock her confidence. She was gaining a little on the winner on the run-in, but really on ratings and previous form this was disappointing, notwithstanding she might be better on faster ground.

Exeter Jackpot Placepot
2.30 Real Treasure 3rd 100/30, Manele Bay
3.00 Dalaram 2nd 8/1, Master dOr
3.30 Teeming Rain won 9/1, Present Mlord 2nd 8/1 Ex £49.50 CSF £80.50
4.00 King Jack
4.30 Bescot Springs
5.00 Gamedor

Combi Exacta: Teeming Rain, Present Mlord, Ibberton 3.30 Exeter Ex £49.50 CSF £80.50

Extra bets: Wheres Reiley won 7/4 2.10 S, Trans Sonic won 7/2 4.40 S, Kings Grey 9/4 Lay 13th 5.20 N

Exeter passes second inspection - Horse Racing News | Racing Post

Exeter passes second inspection - Horse Racing News | Racing Post

RACING is set to go ahead at Exeter after the course passed a second inspection on Tuesday morning.

Exeter forced to inspect again for Tuesday card - Horse Racing News | Racing Post

Exeter forced to inspect again for Tuesday card - Horse Racing News | Racing Post

OFFICIALS at Exeter have called for a further inspection at 10am after the course became frozen in patches following surprise overnight temperatures.

Clerk of the course Barry Johnson, called an 8am inspection but sub-zero temperatures and unraceable bare patches have forced him to look again.

Johnson said: "It was a bit of a shock. All known forecasts said zero or -1C at worst. But we've had -4.2C and it is still -1C now. I've walked the course, it's mostly raceable except for a few bare patches.

"I'm changing the going to good to soft, good in places. It is frozen in a few patches and we'll have a look again at 10am.

Going update - Horse Racing News

Going update - Horse Racing News | Racing Post

EXETER - INSPECTION 8AM
Going: Good to Soft
Weather: Temperature dipped to -4ºC overnight, much lower than forecast. Temperatures are forecast to reach 7ºC.

NEWCASTLE - INSPECTION CANCELLED
Going: Soft, Heavyin places
Other information: Planned inspection cancelled as there was no frost overnight.

SOUTHWELL
Going: Standard
Weather: Dry overnight. Fog at 6.30am, forecast to clear

Free horse racing tips Saturday Results

Tasty winning exacta, trifecta returns even though the possibility of a P Nicholls one two screamed at me from the race cards and ratings...

Newbury Jackpot Placepot

2.05 Henry King, Osric 2nd 14/1
2.35 Gone To Lunch
3.10 Pasco 2nd 5/2, Big Fella Thanks won 8/1 Exacta £31.40
3.45 Nearby 2nd 11/4, Classic Dream
4.20 Be There In Five won 3/1
4.55 Flemish Invader


Combi Exacta: Ex £31.40 Big Fella Thanks, Pasco, Au Courant 3.10 Newbury TRIFECTA £266.40

Extra bets: King OThe Gypsies won 13/8 2.30 Kel, Laskari 9/4 2.55 Donc, Blue Monster 2/1 5.30 Newb

But what a grotty week I have had with my chronic fatigue, apart from the time spent on my tips yesterday I was in bed all the time totally pole-axed by headaches. nausea and fatigue. Looks like just Sunday and Monday off has not improved things at all so I amconsidering some time off after Cheltenham to try and feel a bit better for The Grand National and the start of the flat...

Scoop6 Results 6th March 2010

Scoop6 Results 6th March 2010

Scoop6 Win Fund Total : £272,745 - not won
Scoop6 Place Fund Total : £57,812 - 273 winners @ £211.70
Scoop6 Bonus Fund Total : £116,891

Scoop6 Race 1 - 2:20 Doncaster
1st 6 Quentin Collong'
2nd 4 Galaxy Rock
3rd 9 Berwick Law

Scoop6 Race 2 - 2:35 Newbury
1st 3 Eric's Charm
2nd 4 Knowhere
3rd 7 Dom D'orgeval

Scoop6 Race 3 - 2:50 Kempton Park
1st 6 Whitewater Dash
2nd 13 Jacarado
3rd 14 Noble Future

Scoop6 Race 4 - 3:10 Newbury
1st 4 Big Fella Thanks
2nd 5 Pasco
3rd 9 Au Courant

Scoop6 Race 5 - 3:25 Doncaster
1st 11 Wogan
2nd 4 Killyglen
3rd 8 Coe

Scoop6 Race 6 - 3:45 Newbury
1st 8 Arctic Wings
2nd 6 Nearby
3rd 1 Benfleet Boy

The Key To Finding Winners Trained By Mark Johnston

The Key To Finding Winners Trained By Mark Johnston

Mark Johnston is one of the top flat racing trainers within the UK who has trained over 100 winners on the flat every year for the last decade, shrewd punters may have spotted patterns that help them latch onto some of his winners, I would like to share one such pattern that has provided me with my fair share of Mark Johnston trained winners in the past.


Whenever a trainer steps their horse up in trip on the flat, it usually means one of two things. Either the trainer is running them over an unsuitable trip to keep their horses handicap mark low whilst having an opportunity to give them some more racing experience, it can also mean that the trainer is still unsure about the horses optimum trip and is still trying to find out; if it's the latter reason, you can be pretty sure the horses are fit enough to do themselves justice, especially with a trainer like Mark Johnston who is someone that embraces new medicine and training techniques more than any other trainer I know of.

I've read on numerous occasions that Mark Johnstons' horses were always worth checking out when being stepped up in trip, finally I have had the time to do the required research, I'd like to share my findings with you, it makes for very interesting reading. I tried to make the search as broad as possible, so my research covers both the flat and all weather surfaces, it details the results of horses stepping up in trip based on the race distance they tried last time out only. Some horses may have been stepped up in trip in the past, the remainder will have done this for the first time. This was a conscious decision on my part so the reader had as many opportunities to apply this research in the future.

I decided to group the data in such a way that could easily identify any patterns, initially I tested for horses stepping up to a mile having raced over 5 furlongs or 6 furlongs or 7 furlongs, I then tested in the same manner for the most common race distances up to 1 mile 6 furlongs, so the test related to horses stepping up to 1 mile 6 furlongs involved breaking the data down into horse that raced over 6 or 7 or 8 or 9 or 10 or 11 or 12 or 13 furlongs last time out. By the time I was finished, I had spotted a clear pattern and it was pretty much what I was expecting to see.

It turns out that Marks Johnstons' horses are never more interesting than when they are stepping up in trip by more than one furlong; this makes sense to me as Mark would be more certain that the horse would benefit from a longer trip when they were being stepped up by more than a furlong. Horses being stepped up only a furlong were still interesting and in most cases they were showing a small profit, but it was clear that in nearly every case where the horse was being stepped up in trip by between 2 and 4 furlongs, his horses showed a very healthy profit.

Rather than combine all the research into one final figure, I've decided to publish small subsections of results that I believe make the most compelling reading; I feel the results would be less meaningful if I adopted my normal strategy of combining all the data together. When I write ROI, I'm referring to the return on your investment, there are 8 furlongs to 1 mile, I have rounded wins/runs and ROI percentages up or down so it's easier to read. Here's what I found:



HORSES STEPPING UP TO 1 MILE:
From 5 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 1/4 (25%)
ROI: 225%

From 6 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 12/79 (15%)
ROI: 9%

From 7 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 67/356 (19%)
ROI: 6%



HORSES STEPPING UP TO 1 MILE 1 FURLONG:
From 6 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 3/14 (21%)
ROI: 61%

From 7 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 13/63 (21%)
ROI: 25%

From 8 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 32/149 (22%)
ROI: 10%



HORSES STEPPING UP TO 1 MILE 2 FURLONGS:
From 6 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 1/7 (14%)
ROI: 143%

From 7 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 15/56 (27%)
ROI: 148%

From 8 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 25/186 (13%)
ROI: -32%

From 9 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 18/96 (21%)
ROI: -31%



HORSES STEPPING UP TO 1 MILE 4 FURLONGS:
From 7 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 1/6 (17%)
ROI: -72%

From 8 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 11/49 (22%)
ROI: 12%

From 9 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 7/35 (20%)
ROI: -27%

From 10 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 32/183 (18%)
ROI: 18%

From 11 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 14/79 (18%)
ROI: 18%



HORSES STEPPING UP TO 1 MILE 6 FURLONGS:
From 8 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 0/1 (0%)
ROI: -100%

From 10 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 0/6 (0%)
ROI: -100%

From 11 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 3/5 (60%)
ROI: 702%

From 12 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 16/80 (20%)
ROI: 53%

From 13 furlongs:
Wins/Runs: 3/11 (27%)
ROI: 14%

I believe we can draw real life conclusions from these results. I'd wager that punters have already figured out that betting on Mark Johnstons horses when stepping up in trip can be a profitable play and the majority of them are betting on him doing it when stepping a horse up to 1 mile 2 furlongs and 1 mile 4 furlongs. I don't think punters have latched onto the fact that he's capable of stepping them up more than a furlong or two without their win rate dropping too much. As a result, the bookies have sucked most of the value out of his horses stepping up in trip by one furlong and to a lesser extent by two furlongs, but there still looks to be a good opportunity of finding a nice priced winner when spotting a horse stepping up in trip by two, three and four furlongs. I doubt this article will have any significant effect on future ROI results as I expect most punters won't ever read this article (or similar ones for that matter) with only a handful of people willing to do serious research being the ones to benefit from this opportunity the most.

Article Tags: Mark Johnston, Being Stepped, Horses Stepping

Source: Free Articles from ArticlesFactory.com


ABOUT THE AUTHOR


Jason Woodruff is the owner of Takesallsports Ltd, a friendly sports betting forum. He has been living off his poker income for the past 3 years and wants to share his thoughts on poker, horse racing and football. Jason is looking for sports and betting enthusiasts with opinions to share, also anyone wanting to improve their gambling.

Register with Takesallsports here: http://forum.takesallsports.com

Scoop6 Races 6th March

SCOOP6 RACES
2:20 Doncaster
2:35 Newbury
2:50 Kempton
3:10 Newbury
3:25 Doncaster
3:45 Newbury

Thursday Free Horse Racing Tips Results

Bog standard day with an average hat trick of winners....

Ludlow Placepot Tips

2.30 Moghaayer, Im In The Pink
3.00 Quartz de Thaix
3.30 Guydus nr
4.00 Carrickmines won 11/4
4.30 Glebehall Bay, Aim For The Stars
5.00 Marthas Kinsman 2nd 5/1, Templer won 15/8

Extra bets: Cloudy City 2/1 2.10 Sou, Set Back won 5/2 2.40 Sou, Perpetually 2/1 6.20 Wolve

Free Horse Racing Tips Wednesday Jackpot Race Meeting

Doh, did better at picking losers than winners yesterday but as 2 selections were lay bets that is not as bad as it sounds at first especially as one of my longshots placed at 33/1..

I am going to oppose Motarjm 11/4 4.30 Wolves with an each way bet on Lastroseofsummer 14/1,3RD 33/1 the horse looks ood on breeding and Probert is adept at winning on long shots. I am also going to oppose Vainglory 11/4 7.45 Kempton with Johnston’s only runner there, Cry of Freedom 12/1 from 16’s. Johnston would have long ago got rid of this horse if it were as bad as Spotlight makes out


Bangor Jackpot Placepot & Horse Racing Dutch Tips

2.20 Megasue 3rd 6/4, Lady Wright
2.50 Mam Ratagan
3.20 Ciceron won 3/1, Lively Fling 3rd 11/2
3.50 Ultimate Limit, Shrewd Investor
4.20 Vivarini
4.50 Pamak Dairy

Extra bets: The Boffinator 4/1 3.40 Folk, Motarjm lay u/p 11/4 4.30 W, Vainglory lay u/p 11/4 7.45 K

Gambling Housewife Free Horse Racing Tips Tuesday Jackpot Race Meeting

Nice longshot came first in the Exacta race for a tasty return: Exacta £48.40
CSF just £36.05

Combi Exacta: £48.40 Quay Meadow 1st 17/2, Dauntsey Bay 2nd 7/2, Capybara 2.30 Catterick

Catterick Jackpot Placepot
2.00 Mt Desert 3rd 5/1, Samizdat 2nd 2/1
2.30 Quay Meadow won 17/2, Dauntsey Bay 2nd 7/2 Exacta £48.40
3.00 Desperate Dex 3rd 5/2
3.30 Twentynineblack, Hard Act 3rd 12/1
4.00 Classic Cut won 7/4
4.30 Penny Queen

Leicester forced to take second look at 10am - Horse Racing News | Racing Post

Leicester forced to take second look at 10am - Horse Racing News | Racing Post

TUESDAY'S meeting at Leicester is now subject to a 10am inspection.

Officials at the track had planned to inspect at 8am, but that has been moved back after heavy frost on Monday night.

Clerk of the course Jimmy Stevenson said on Tuesday morning: "I wasn't expecting that [the frost], it was bloody cold. We're stillvery hopeful and just waiting for the sun to pop out.

"It's forecast to get up to 8c, but, having had -9c overnight, it needs to warm up.


Catterick goes ahead!!

Tuesday inspections

Not looking great as both jumps meetings have inspections scheduled today so we may be left with just the Lingfield all weather race meeting. . .

Horse Racing News | Racing Post

CATTERICK
GOING: SOFT (Good to soft in places) (GoingStick: Chs 6.8, Hdl 7.2) Precautionary INSPECTION 8am TuesdayWEATHER (Sunny)
NON RUNNERS 2:30 Conington (2)

LEICESTER
GOING: HEAVY (Soft in places) (GoingStick 6.8) Precautionary INSPECTION 8am Tuesday
WEATHER (Sunny)
NON RUNNERS 4:20 Cracking Cliche (13)

LINGFIELD
GOING: STANDARD